Trump Admin-approved Iran Oil Buyers Line Up
(Bloomberg) -- Armed with waivers to keep importing Iranian oil without running afoul of U.S. sanctions, some of the Islamic Republic's top customers are preparing to buy.
The exemptions mean at least some supplies from OPEC's third-biggest producer will keep flowing into international markets, after its exports plunged almost 40 percent since April -- the month before Washington announced the curbs. In a bid to keep customers, the state-run National Iranian Oil Co. has been offering record discounts on its crude.
Almost all major buyers of Iran's oil had negotiated with the U.S. for the waivers, arguing that cutting purchases to zero would affect their energy industries and boost fuel costs. U.S. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo has defended the exemptions and said the Trump administration's campaign to pressure Iran has already reduced exports by over 1 million barrels a day and they'll continue to shrink.
India, China and South Korea, three of Asia's top four buyers, got waivers allowing them to purchase a combined 860,000 barrels a day. The levels for Japan, Italy and Greece are yet to be confirmed. Turkey got waivers for about 60,000 a day, far less than it bought in 2017.
A summary of plans by some of Iran's biggest oil customers and what they may buy under the waivers is set out below. This story will be updated as new information becomes available. The exemptions have been granted for 180 days, and will be reviewed toward the end of the period.
- Waiver: 3 million tons a year, or about 60,000 barrels a day
- Purchases before sanctions: 11.5 million tons, or about 230,000 barrels a day
Turkey is more reliant on Iranian crude than any other country: almost half its imports came from the Persian Gulf country in the first half of this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Turkish Energy Minister Fatih Donmez said Friday that the sanctions on Iran indirectly impact Turkish people. Tupras Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri AS, by far the nation's largest refiner, is already looking for alternatives, he said.
- Waiver: Up to 200,000 barrels a day of condensate
- Purchases before sanctions: 300,000 barrels a day (condensate) in 2017
While the Asian country was the third-biggest importer of Iranian oil, it was the first major buyer to cut purchases to zero as the U.S. prepared to impose sanctions. It's now allowed to buy as much as 200,000 barrels a day, though actual imports may not be that high.
Purchases must be limited to cargoes of condensate, a type of ultra-light oil that's critical for South Korea because many of the nation's plants are geared to process it. The country bought about 300,000 barrels a day of South Pars condensate from Iran in 2017.
The government is said to be in discussion with companies to decide how to split the import volume. They'll maintain a won-based payment system with Iran, making deposits into local escrow accounts in Industrial Bank of Korea and Woori Bank. The money won't directly go to Iran, which can only use it to buy food, medicine or other non-sanctioned goods from its customers.
- Waiver: Up to 300,000 b/d
- Purchases before sanctions: 560,000 b/d in Jan.-Oct. 2018
The South Asian nation was one of the most vocal negotiators for an exemption from the U.S., as the government faced protests over rising fuel costs before national elections next year.
Under the exemptions, it will be allowed to import as much as 300,000 barrels a day. That's under Iran's average daily exports to the nation of about 560,000 barrels this year, and almost 450,000 barrels in 2017, shipping data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Indian refiners are expected to buy about 9 million barrels of oil for loading in November from Iran. They too will make payments into a local escrow account for the crude supply.
- Waiver: 360,000 b/d
- Purchases before sanctions: 658,000 b/d in Jan.-Sept. 2018
The biggest buyer of Iran's crude is allowed to import 360,000 barrels a day under the exemptions, according to people with knowledge of the matter. That doesn't include oil produced by projects in the Islamic Republic in which Chinese companies have equity.
While China had bought about 658,000 barrels a day over the first nine months of this year, the government was said to have told at least two state oil companies to avoid purchasing the producer's oil before the sanctions went into effect. That decision preceded an upcoming meeting between President Xi Jinping and U.S. counterpart Donald Trump and coincided with flaring trade tensions between the countries. Chinese ship owners had also stopped hauling Iranian oil.
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