Growing US Oil Inventories Overshadow Demand Optimism

Growing US Oil Inventories Overshadow Demand Optimism
Fuel demand may be staging a slow comeback, but that doesn't mean the supply glut is going away anytime soon.

(Bloomberg) -- Fuel demand may be staging a gradual comeback in the world’s biggest economy, but that doesn’t mean the huge supply glut is going away anytime soon.

Gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week, according to a report from the Energy Information Administration, reflecting a slight pick-up in demand during the summer driving season with coronavirus-led lockdowns easing in some parts of the U.S. Stubbornly high crude inventories still threaten to put a floor under crude’s rally from historic lows in April.

“The distillate draw is a clear sign of the reopening of the economy and transportation returning,” said Rob Thummel, portfolio manager at Tortoise. “We still need to see inventories come down. That’ll be the catalyst for oil prices to move higher.”


  • West Texas Intermediate for July settlement slipped 42 cents to settle at $37.96 a barrel in New York.
  • Brent for August delivery fell 25 cents to settle at $40.71 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.
  • In the U.S. physical market, price differentials to futures were little changed.

In a note on Wednesday, Toronto Dominion Bank’s commodity strategist head Bart Melek said “a sustained re-balancing will require ongoing demand growth, which could be challenged by waves of new infections across much of southern USA.”

Earlier in the day, OPEC predicted that fuel demand will remain “under pressure” during the second half of the year because of the ongoing economic fallout from the coronavirus.

Saudi Arabia, Russia and other members of the OPEC+ coalition are due to hold an online meeting on Thursday to review the impact of the biggest ever production cuts announced.

The EIA report showed that U.S. crude production fell by 600,000 barrels a day to 10.5 million, the lowest since 2018. While that would appear quite bullish, last week’s data coincided with the passage of Tropical Storm Cristobal, which forced some producers to shut output in the Gulf of Mexico.

Other oil-market news:

  • Growth in energy demand was declining even before the coronavirus pandemic spread globally, keeping consumers under lockdown and sending prices to record lows, BP Plc said Wednesday.
  • Global oil demand is back to about 90% of its pre-coronavirus level, according to top commodity trading house Trafigura Group, which three months ago was among the first to sound alarms about the rapid drop in consumption due to the outbreak.
  • Saudi Aramco has suspended work at two offshore drilling rigs for about a year, according to filings from the contractors. The producer is also delaying a related $18 billion oil and gas expansion project by at least six months, according to people with knowledge of the situation.

--With assistance from Alex Longley.

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John m Gdowski  |  June 18, 2020
According to the current EIA report, gasoline is staging increase in demand, not may be.