Biden Plan Gives Oil Sector Surprise Boost

Biden Plan Gives Oil Sector Surprise Boost
President Joe Biden, who made clean energy a core tenet of his campaign, plans to set off one more oil-sector boom.

(Bloomberg) -- President Joe Biden, who made clean energy a core tenet of his campaign, plans to set off one more oil-sector boom before shadows descend on fossil fuels.

In a $2.25 trillion infrastructure proposal unveiled Wednesday, Biden earmarked $115 billion for roads and bridges, and another $16 billion to put laid-off oilfield laborers to work plugging abandoned wells across the nation. Those are in addition to sweeping investments in electric vehicles and renewable power, sectors more in keeping with the administration’s green tinge.

Since taking office two months ago, Biden’s been more boon than bane for a fossil-fuel industry that was wary of the ascendance of a politician bent on accelerating the energy transition. Instead, the president’s focus on things like expediting Covid-19 vaccinations and clamping down on reckless environmental practices have had the effect of boosting fuel demand and capping price-killing growth in domestic oil output.

In the infrastructure blueprint, the biggest benefit for oil explorers and refiners would come from the expected jump in demand for asphalt to repair crumbling highways and pave new ones. Because asphalt is derived from the heaviest and most-dense material in a barrel of crude, Canada’s oil-sands producers may be the biggest winners, given their status as the source of some of the globe’s thickest petroleum.

Plugging old wells and securing defunct coal mines -- some of which have been abandoned for more than a century in places like Pennsylvania -- would mean paychecks for workers thrown out of high-paying jobs during the back-to-back oil busts that kicked off in 2014. Although details remain scant on how the broad-brush plan will be implemented, the oft-opposing forces of fossil fuels and environmentalism lauded many of the measures laid out in Biden’s plan.

“It’s absolutely historic,” Collin O’Mara, president of the National Wildlife Foundation, said of the plan to address abandoned wells and mines. “We realize that by working together we actually share more common goals than have been previously understood.”

Out of Work

The lobbying group that represents more than 700 oilfield service and equipment makers was also pleased with the initial scope of the plan to put hired hands of the shale patch back to work again.

“There are plenty of companies that would really want to engage on this,” said Tim Tarpley, senior vice president for government affairs at the Energy Workforce & Technology Council. “I do think it would be an economic help; how big of a help that’s going to be is going to depend on the details that we unfortunately don’t have yet.”

North American oil explorers are still recovering from last year’s historic crude crash and pledging to restrain production growth for the sake of investor-friendly measures such as dividends. Home to the world’s third-biggest oil workforce, the U.S. saw an 11% cut to headcount in 2020 that reduced the ranks of employed to just under 1 million, according to Rystad Energy. Another 10,000 or so job cuts are expected this year, the energy-data provider has forecast.

‘Elated’

Canada’s oil-sands industry was among the hardest hit sections of the industry when Covid-19 and a worldwide glut of crude crashed prices last year. Now, assuming some or all of Biden’s wish list is granted, heavy crude from Western Canada may be poised for a rebound.

“The asphalt industry should be elated with Biden’s plan to upgrade 20,000 miles of roads in the U.S.,” said Charles Kemp, a senior consultant at Baker & O’Brien Inc. “However, this announcement favors heavier oil production from outside of the U.S., which contains roughly double the amount of asphalt versus the asphalt content in light crudes from U.S. domestic production.”

Still, Biden’s plan may not translate into higher profits for oil companies, given that the flip side of the spending plan includes corporate tax increases to fund all the new work.

Tax Burden

“The well-capping support is great for well-servicing companies and will add jobs,” James West, an analyst at Evercore ISI, said in an email. “However, the corporate tax hike adds another burden to the U.S. oil industry which probably overwhelms the good news.”

Even market observers aren’t expecting an immediate payoff.

”We’re a long way away from the market trying to price in” the ramifications of the infrastructure plan, said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. “Typically, infrastructure spending happens over eight to 10 years, so it’s going to take a long time for that to get into implementation, much less priced into the market.”

--With assistance from Sheela Tobben and Andres Guerra Luz.

© 2021 Bloomberg L.P.



WHAT DO YOU THINK?


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nick  |  April 02, 2021
what a lot of rubbish.... he has no idea what he is talking about.... they have already been plugged.... and will have to be unplugged eventually when all those anti fossil fuel dreamers find out they have created a fuel shortage... where do they think plastics for solar panels come from and the wind turbines are made of what..... the carbon footprint of an electric car is 15 times the size of a petrol car... and thats not taking into account the damage done to the enviroment by digging up all the copper lithium from Africa that is required for elctric cars... dont forget all the copper wire etc for all the charging points etc....
Ed  |  April 02, 2021
After the 10's of thousands jobs he killed in his first few minutes in office, this is a bitter pill - too little, too late. And it's amazing how your staff writer has fallen for this red herring hook, line and sinker - sickening actually.
David LaRue  |  April 01, 2021
In fact the whole bill is mostly a bailout of state and local government. 115 billion for roads and bridges, that us barely 5% of 2.25 Trillion.
John LaRue  |  April 01, 2021
Operator pays for the plugging of non producing wells. If the Bond they put up does not cover it the state (RRC) is supposed to make up the difference. So this is really a bail out of states.
CAL SPURRIER  |  April 01, 2021
The Government has a funny way of showing they need Canada oil sands oil by shutting down the XL portion of the Trans Canada pipeline. this will mean more imports from South America, or more rail traffic, with spills on ageing rails.