IEA: Iraq's Oil Growth At Risk As Demand, For Now, Accelerates
LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) - Iraq's oil growth targets look increasingly at risk, the International Energy Agency said, as threats to supplies from political instability and violence grow just as demand is picking up due to a stronger global economy.
Iraq is the second-largest producer in OPEC and its northern exports have been offline since March. OPEC output has also been hit by unrest in Libya, sanctions on Iran and oil theft in Nigeria.
"Within OPEC, Iraq remains the main source of most of the expected capacity growth, but this expansion looks increasingly at risk," Maria van der Hoeven, the IEA's executive director, wrote in the report's Foreword.
Still, the adviser to the United States and other industrialised countries also said in its Medium Term Oil Market Report on Tuesday that global growth in oil demand may start to slow down by the end of this decade due partly to high prices, and shale oil would start to spread outside the United States.
Oil prices jumped to almost $115 a barrel last week, the highest since September, as advances by Sunni insurgents in Iraq raised concern that more of the country's supply could be disrupted.
At present, the agency expects OPEC to increase its production capacity by 2.08 million barrels per day (bpd) - to 37.06 million bpd by 2019. More than 60 percent of the growth is expected to come from Iraq.
The report contrasts with the IEA's previous medium-term update in May 2013, which forecast U.S. shale oil would help meet most of the world's new oil demand, leaving little room for OPEC to lift output without risking lower prices.
View Full Article
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
Generated by readers, the comments included herein do not reflect the views and opinions of Rigzone. All comments are subject to editorial review. Off-topic, inappropriate or insulting comments will be removed.
- Trump Credits Own 'Talent' for Oil Prices (Jan 04)
- OPEC Output Falls Most in Almost 2 Years (Jan 02)
- Saudi Energy Minister Confident that OPEC+ Will Extend Cuts in 2019 (Dec 19)
Company: International Energy Agency (IEA) more info
- IEA Welcomes Return of Oil Surplus (Nov 14)
- IEA Urges OPEC to Open Taps as Oil Markets Enter 'Red Zone' (Oct 09)
- IEA Warns of Higher Oil Prices as Iran and Venezuela Losses Deepen (Sep 13)