Talisman has announced its capital spending plans for 2009. The priorities for the coming year are:
The Company has budgeted for exploration and development spending of approximately $3.6 billion in 2009 and plans to fund these capital programs from cash flow and disposition proceeds. Including non-cash lease costs, total capital spending is expected to be approximately $4 billion. Talisman has set these plans assuming a US$40/bbl WTI oil price and a US$5/mmbtu NYMEX natural gas price in 2009.
The Company plans to issue its final 2008 results on March 5, 2009.
"We have assumed what we hope to be a conservative scenario for oil and gas prices in 2009," said John A. Manzoni, President & CEO. "Talisman entered 2009 with a strong balance sheet and our objective this year is to preserve financial flexibility by living within our means and continue to advance our new strategy. We have achieved good progress on the strategy introduced last May and this new direction for the Company is proving to be robust.
"We have significantly more investment opportunities than available cash in the current environment, which allows us to be flexible in where we focus investment. We will concentrate on continued implementation of our strategic priorities, sometimes at the expense of current production, because we believe our strategy will deliver the highest returns over time. Based on our projected investment pattern, 2009 production should be broadly similar to last year, which is expected to come in at about 430,000 boe/d. This shift in spending towards higher quality strategic projects is expected to provide sustainable long-term growth at lower risk.
"We will maintain a flexible approach to spending this year, which will allow us to navigate this dynamic environment. We plan to fund our capital programs from cash generated by operations plus proceeds from confirmed divestments. This includes approximately US$500 million received last week from our previously announced Netherlands sale.
"In line with our objective of focusing the portfolio, last year we sold non core assets comprising around 12,000 boe/d of production with after tax proceeds of around $1 billion. We intend to continue this process, recognizing that sales may be difficult in the current financial environment. We will also be mindful of opportunities created in this commodity price environment where it may be better value to buy than to build.
"While we are still in the process of evaluating our 2008 results, low year-end commodity prices will likely have a significant negative impact on reported reserves, predominantly in the UK. In addition, lower prices, combined with adding substantial amounts of high quality unconventional land in North America, while progressing a number of large international development projects, are expected to result in high reserve replacement costs in 2008. However, we expect the strategic shift to unconventional gas and a focus on larger international exploration targets will lead to a substantial reduction in these costs over time. We also see indications that costs are coming down and we will continue to manage our cost base carefully, both in terms of capital and operating costs, continually looking for opportunities to reduce them.
"The capital program is relatively balanced among: North America (33%); North Sea development (27%); Southeast Asia growth projects (19%); international exploration (18%, including North Sea and Southeast Asia exploration); with the remaining 3% allocated for the rest of the world.
"In North America, spending is expected to be approximately $1.2 billion this year. Spending on unconventional gas programs will account for approximately $1 billion of the total, with about two-thirds of unconventional spending budgeted for the Marcellus and Montney plays. The North American unconventional program will be the primary user of any incremental capital that becomes available through the year either through higher prices or additional non-core asset sales. We are encouraged by the results in our core areas and see unconventional gas as one of the main drivers of long term growth for Talisman.
"North Sea development spending is focused on project developments at Yme in Norway, in addition to the Burghley development and the Auk North and South redevelopment in the UK. We will delay some planned asset sales in the UK in this environment; however, our objective remains to establish the UK as a long term, high quality generator of free cash flow. In Southeast Asia, the emphasis will be on achieving first oil from Northern Fields in the PM-3 CAA, continued development offshore Vietnam and increasing gas sales in Indonesia from Corridor and Tangguh. We continue to look for additional investment opportunities in this low cost, energy rich part of the world.
"We have an exciting exploration program lined up this year with a second well planned for the Kurdistan region of Northern Iraq, appraisal of a previous Talisman discovery in Peru, completion of the Huron-1 well in Colombia and the TR3 well in Norway. In addition, there is an ongoing appraisal and evaluation program in Block 15-2/01 in Vietnam. In total this year, we will participate in 24 exploration and appraisal wells, 11 of which we will operate. Our longer-term objective is to add 150 mmbbls of resources per year at a cost of less than $5/bbl.
"Talisman enters 2009 with a strong balance sheet and a lot of flexibility. We have made significant progress on our strategy in a very short period of time and will continue implementation. I am confident we will exit the year with the Company even better positioned for sustainable growth and value creation."
The 2009 Capital Program
The 2009 capital program supports Talisman's new strategic objectives outlined in May 2008. The Company has achieved significant progress in the past seven months:
As part of the 2008 strategic review, Talisman decided to substantially increase its investment in unconventional natural gas. A total of 186 gross unconventional wells were drilled in new areas in 2008. The Company is continuing pilot programs in a number of areas and moving to development of others. The Company also made significant additions to its already sizeable unconventional land base in 2008.
Talisman plans to spend $1.2 billion in North America in 2009, focusing on projects in areas where the Company has a large, material opportunity base. Approximately 80% of spending will be on unconventional properties, with $710 million allocated to development of the Pennsylvania Marcellus Shale and continued piloting and development of the Montney. Spending on conventional assets in North America will be limited to existing commitments on heritage properties. Although this will impact 2009 volumes, Talisman believes its unconventional opportunities have a better risk/return profile.
Following on its success in 2008 in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, where Talisman holds 140,000 net acres, the Company plans to move into the development stage. Talisman plans to drill 36 gross horizontal wells in 2009, with up to five rigs drilling by the third quarter. With continued success in Pennsylvania, the program could ramp up to 16 rigs in the area by 2010.
Talisman plans to continue building on its success in the Montney area, with a mix of pilot projects, development and land acquisitions in 2009. Talisman is active in several regions within the Montney. In 2009, the Company plans to drill 49 gross wells, with the possibility of increasing this level with continued success. By year-end, nine rigs will be drilling in the area. Talisman holds 87,000 net acres of land in the Groundbirch area, where it will continue its pilot program in 2009.
Talisman will continue to pilot and prepare its Quebec landholdings for a 2010 drilling program. The Company will also complete its drilling program in West Texas, which was part of the Hallwood transaction entered into in 2008.
Talisman's drilling plans for 2009 include a total of 131 gross unconventional development wells and 29 gross pilot wells. Talisman expects to have a total of 16 unconventional rigs deployed by the end of the year.
In Southeast Asia, the Company plans to leverage its successful track record in Malaysia and Indonesia and plans to spend approximately $850 million in 2009, primarily focusing on developing growth projects in the region. The majority of spending will be on development drilling in the Northern Fields in Malaysia, where the Company expects to drill approximately 16 oil and gas wells and on the continued appraisal and development of Block 15-2/01 in Vietnam. Talisman plans to drill three wells on the Block, one appraisal/development well in the basement structure and two exploration wells to test additional prospects.
In Malaysia, Talisman will progress Northern Field Development to first oil in the second quarter of 2009. In Vietnam, sanction for the development of the Hai Su Trang field and for the Hai Su Den early production scheme is expected in the first half of 2009, with first production anticipated in 2012. In Indonesia, the Company expects first production from the Tangguh LNG project in the second quarter of 2009 and will pursue sanction of Suban Phase 3 in the Corridor PSC for first gas sales in 2013. In addition, Talisman will continue to evaluate exploration opportunities in existing Joint Study Agreement blocks as well as licencing rounds.
In the North Sea, Talisman plans to spend approximately $1.4 billion in 2009, excluding a non-cash capitalized lease in Norway of $270 million. Of this, approximately $750 million will be spent in the UK and $630 million in Norway, without the non-cash lease. Approximately $235 million will be spent on exploration drilling, which includes two wells to follow-up on the Cayley discovery in the UK.
In Norway, the overall objective is to grow operations through development projects in the near term and through exploration in the mid- to long-term. The cash capital program in Norway is approximately $630 million, of which approximately $340 million will be spent on Yme development and approximately $120 million on exploration. Talisman's development program in Norway includes 13 development wells, nine of which are operated. Seven wells are planned on Yme and two wells each on the Brage and Gyda fields.
In the UK, the overall aim is to hold production flat and continue the UK as a free cash flow generator. Talisman plans development spending of $560 million, including drilling and completing two wells at Auk North, detailed engineering on the Auk South project and commencing the Burghley project. In total, seven new development wells are expected to be drilled in 2009. We have slowed expenditure on a number of projects in order to take advantage of a slowdown in the contracting environment.
In North Africa, capital spending is expected to be $66 million for 2009. Talisman anticipates the El Merk development project will be sanctioned in the first quarter of 2009. Development drilling will commence in the second quarter of 2009 and first oil is planned for the first quarter of 2012. At the Ourhoud field, a continuous development drilling program is planned through to mid-2010.
Talisman's global exploration strategy is to deliver organic growth to the Company by defining new exploration opportunities within the current asset base and identifying potential future core production areas. Excluding North America, exploration spending in 2009 is budgeted at approximately $660 million. Key wells planned include TR3 and Grevling in Norway, Situche Centrale appraisal in Peru, Huron-1 in Colombia and a second well in the Kurdistan exploration program.
In the North Sea, Talisman plans to support the existing core areas with four operated wells in the UK and three in Norway. In Southeast Asia, Talisman will complete the appraisal program on Block 15-2/01 in Vietnam as well as progressing the evaluation of Pasangkayu, Sageri and the Joint Study agreement blocks in Indonesia.
In South America, Talisman will drill a well to appraise an earlier discovery in Block 64 in Peru. The Company will continue drilling operations of the Huron-1 well in the Niscota Block, drill an additional well in El Caucho and progress the evaluation of the recently awarded blocks in Colombia.
In the Kurdistan region of Northern Iraq, following the first well, which is currently drilling on Block K44, Talisman will drill the second of a three well commitment and acquire additional seismic over Block K39.
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