Agency Boosts Hurricane Forecast, Sees Active Season

NEW YORK (Dow Jones Newswires), August 5, 2008

The already active Atlantic hurricane season may be even busier than previously expected, said forecasters at Colorado State University, who on Tuesday raised their expectations for storm activity.

Forecasters now say they see 17 named storms, nine hurricanes and five intense hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 miles-per-hour or greater in the season, which began June 1 and runs to Nov. 30.

On June 3, the forecasters called for a very active season, with 15 named storms, eight of which would become hurricanes, with four becoming intense hurricanes.

The climatological average between 1950 and 2000 is 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has projected 12 to 16 named storms, including six to nine hurricanes, including two to five major hurricanes. NOAA said there is only a 25% probability of a near-normal season, meaning a 90% chance of normal or above normal and only a 10% chance of a below normal season.

NOAA will update its forecast at 11 a.m. EDT Thursday.

Colorado State forcasters will issue an update on the last two months of the season Sept. 2.

Copyright (c) 2008 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.


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