ConocoPhillips Issues Interim Update for Q1

This update is intended to give an overview of market and operating conditions experienced by ConocoPhillips during the first quarter of 2007. The market indicators and company estimates may differ considerably from the company's actual results scheduled to be reported on April 25, 2007.

Highlights - First-Quarter 2007 vs. Fourth-Quarter 2006

-- Exploration and Production
   -- Lower crude oil prices.
   -- Higher U.S. natural gas prices.
   -- Lower worldwide production.

-- Refining and Marketing
   -- Significantly higher worldwide refining margins.
   -- Lower worldwide marketing margins.
   -- Worldwide refining capacity utilization rate in the
      mid-90-percent range.
   -- Lower turnaround costs.

-- Midstream and Chemicals
   -- Midstream and Chemicals results expected to be lower than the
      previous quarter.

-- Corporate and Other
   -- Debt balance of approximately $23.7 billion.
   -- First-quarter net benefit associated with asset disposition

Exploration and Production (E&P)

The table below provides market price indicators for crude oil and natural gas. The company's actual crude oil and natural gas price realizations may vary from these market indicators due to quality and location differentials, as well as the effect of pricing lags.

Market Indicators
                            1Q 2007    4Q 2006  1Q 2007 vs.  1Q 2006
                                                  4Q 2006
Dated Brent ($/bbl)           $57.76     $59.68     $(1.92)    $61.75
WTI ($/bbl)                    57.99      59.94      (1.95)     63.28
ANS USWC ($/bbl)               55.69      55.51       0.18      60.87
Henry Hub first of month
 ($/mmbtu)                      6.77       6.56       0.21       9.01
                                                        Source: Platts

First-quarter production on a barrel-of-oil equivalent (BOE) per day basis, including Syncrude and excluding Lukoil, is anticipated to be lower than the previous quarter, primarily due to OPEC reductions and unplanned downtime in the U.S. Lower 48. Exploration expenses are expected to be approximately $275 million before-tax for the quarter.

Refining and Marketing (R&M)

The table below provides market indicators for regions where the company has significant refining operations. The Weighted U.S. 3:2:1 margin is based on the geographical location and capacity of ConocoPhillips' U.S. refineries. Realized refining margins may differ due to the company's specific locations, configurations, crude oil slates or operating conditions. The company's refining configuration generally yields somewhat higher distillate volumes and lower gasoline volumes than those implied by the market indicators shown below. In addition, marketing margins may differ significantly from the U.S. wholesale gasoline marketing indicator due to the product mix, distribution channel and location of the company's refined product sales.

Market Indicators ($/bbl)
                            1Q 2007    4Q 2006  1Q 2007 vs.  1Q 2006
                                                  4Q 2006
Refining Margins
    East Coast WTI 3:2:1      $11.81      $7.86      $3.95      $7.52
    Gulf Coast WTI 3:2:1       10.06       6.77       3.29       8.28
    Mid-Continent WTI
     3:2:1                     14.84      10.11       4.73       9.81
    West Coast ANS 3:2:1       28.68      20.36       8.32      18.87
    Weighted U.S. 3:2:1        15.30      10.49       4.81      10.56
    NW Europe Dated Brent
     3:1:2                     12.06      11.46       0.60      10.18
WTI/Maya Differential
 (trading month)               12.64      13.04      (0.40)     15.61
U.S. Wholesale Gasoline
 Marketing                      1.15       1.81      (0.66)      0.71
                              Source: Platts, Lundberg Survey and OPIS

Worldwide refining margins for the first quarter are expected to be significantly higher than the fourth quarter, as indicated in the table above. However, narrowing crude differentials and the periodic pricing of Brent at a premium to WTI during the quarter are expected to moderate realized margins at some of the company's domestic refineries. Worldwide marketing margins are expected to be lower than the fourth quarter. The company's average crude oil refining capacity utilization rate for the first quarter is expected to be in the mid-90-percent range. First-quarter turnaround costs are expected to be approximately $70 million before-tax.

Lukoil Investment

Fourth-quarter 2006 results included a positive impact of $60 million after-tax from alignment of the company's estimate of Lukoil results to actual results published by Lukoil. ConocoPhillips does not anticipate this impact to recur in the first quarter of 2007.

Corporate and Other

The company anticipates first-quarter corporate expenses to be higher than the fourth quarter. Decreased interest expense is expected to be more than offset by the absence of fourth-quarter foreign currency gains of $61 million after-tax and a $14 million after-tax premium on the early retirement of debt paid in the first quarter.

ConocoPhillips' first-quarter results are expected to include a net benefit of approximately $500 million after-tax associated with the company's asset rationalization efforts.

The company's debt balance is expected to be approximately $23.7 billion at the end of the first quarter, representing a reduction in debt of approximately $3.4 billion from the end of 2006. The company expects first-quarter purchases under the share repurchase program to be approximately $1 billion. Total proceeds generated from first-quarter dispositions under the company's asset rationalization program are expected to be approximately $1.2 billion. The number of weighted-average diluted shares outstanding during the first quarter is expected to be approximately 1,669 million.


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Brent Crude Oil : $51.78/BBL 0.77%
Light Crude Oil : $50.85/BBL 0.83%
Natural Gas : $2.99/MMBtu 4.77%
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