Iraq Paves Way for OPEC Deal With Support for 9 More Months
(Bloomberg) -- Iraq backed a proposal from Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend output cuts for nine months, removing one of the last remaining obstacles to an agreement at the OPEC meeting in Vienna this week.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ second-largest producer, which only reluctantly agreed last year to cut output, had previously favored prolonging the historic supply cuts by just six months. Saudi Minister of Energy and Industry Khalid Al-Falih secured the backing of his neighbor for longer curbs after talks in Baghdad with his Iraqi counterpart Jabbar Al-Luaibi. Separately, non-OPEC nations Oman and Mexico also confirmed their support for a nine-month extension.
“The trend now regarding the output deal is to extend for 9 months,” Al-Falih told reporters in the Iraqi capital on Monday. “All I talked to from inside OPEC are supporting the nine months of cuts,” although the final decision won’t be made until the group’s meeting on May 25, he said.
OPEC and 11 non-members agreed last year to cut output by as much as 1.8 million barrels a day. The supply reductions were initially intended to last six months from January, but the slower-than-expected decline in surplus fuel inventories prompted the group to consider an extension. Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration indicate that maintaining the curbs into the first quarter of 2018 would bring stockpiles back in line with the five-year average -- OPEC’s stated goal.
Iraq has the worst record of compliance with its pledged cuts, pumping about 80,000 more barrels of oil a day than permitted during the first quarter. If that deal gets extended to 2018, the nation will have even less incentive to comply because capacity at key southern fields is expanding and three years of fighting Islamic State has left it drowning in debt.
Additional countries may join the supply cuts, but the overall agreement won’t be substantially changed, Al-Falih said.
“There is an initial willingness for one or two countries from the small producers to join,” he said. “Slight changes might happen but deal in its general shape will be almost the same we agreed upon last December.”
With assistance from Javier Blas and Grant Smith.To contact the reporters on this story: Kadhim Ajrash in Baghdad at kajrash@bloomberg.net; Khalid Al-Ansary in Erbil at kalansary@bloomberg.net. To contact the editors responsible for this story: James Herron at jherron9@bloomberg.net Will Kennedy.
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