Oil Clout Ebbs in Alaska as Billions in Tax Credits Are Cut

Oil Clout Ebbs in Alaska as Billions in Tax Credits Are Cut
Four decades after unlocking America's biggest oilfield, Alaska and its drillers are drifting apart.

(Bloomberg) -- Four decades after unlocking America’s biggest oilfield, Alaska and its drillers are drifting apart.

Facing a $3.5 billion budget gap, state lawmakers narrowly voted in June to trim tax subsidies that have saved oil and gas explorers almost $1 billion a year since 2007. Governor Bill Walker followed that by freezing $430 million in rebates, and proposing more stringent cutbacks that could be approved as early as next year.

State officials say they have little choice, given the drop in oil prices and a flagging state economy. Drillers on the North Slope, the vast Arctic expanse that once led U.S. oil production and still generates a half-million barrels a day, say the policies threaten a nascent turnaround for the industry. A 6-billion barrel discovery announced this week is a sign the current system is working, they say.

“Other states and countries are looking at how we incentivize companies to keep investing," said Kara Moriarty, president of the Alaska Oil and Gas Association, an industry group in Anchorage. “Alaska is looking at just the opposite."

When oil topped $100 a barrel in 2014, Alaska took in $7.4 billion in petroleum taxes and royalties for the fiscal year that ended that June, covering almost 90 percent of its budget. For fiscal 2017, the take is projected at $1 billion, an 86 percent drop, as prices remain locked in at less than half their peak.

The tax breaks “were designed to get new production and they got that, but at a huge price," said Douglas Reynolds, an economist at the University of Alaska at Fairbanks. “Many people feel we got some bang for the buck, but it was probably less value than we gave away."

Oil companies say it’s no time to raise taxes. The North Slope’s big three producers, BP Plc, ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil Corp., slashed spending and cut more than 500 jobs over the past year, as the global downdraft in prices has made Alaska’s expensive crude particularly unappealing. 

West Texas Intermediate, which closed above $50 a barrel for the first time since June on Thursday, fell 5 cents to $50.39 on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12:28 p.m. in Singapore on Friday.

At the heart of the debate is a system that allows companies to deduct operating losses from their taxes. Drillers with no tax bill to offset can claim cash payments from the state. Ending or limiting that option would fall especially hard on smaller drillers who are the most likely to risk exploring for new reserves, said Randy Hoffbeck, the state’s revenue commissioner. Still, Hoffbeck said, Alaska may have no choice.

‘Taking Us Backward’

“If some of those smaller companies leave, it’s taking us backward from where we want to go, but it may be inevitable," he said.

It’s a long way from the heyday of the late 1970s, when officials cleared the way for the 800-mile (1,300-kilometer) Trans-Alaska Pipeline after the OPEC oil shocks. Tapping the inaccessible North Slope, a 95,000-square-mile region where Arctic winds roar and temperatures can fall to 60-below Fahrenheit, was seen as a symbol of oil industry ingenuity, if also the environmental risks it entailed.

North Slope production peaked at about 2 million barrels a day in 1988. It’s declined since, as companies focused exploration on cheaper opportunities elsewhere. The area produced 422,000 barrels a day in July, according to U.S. Energy Department figures.

Revival Signs

Still, there are signs of a revival. In the past year, Exxon and Conoco both began pumping from new North Slope projects. On Oct, 4, closely held Caelus Energy LLC said it had discovered an additional 6 billion barrels of oil that could double the state’s recoverable reserves.

“Without the state tax credit programs, none of this would’ve happened, and I’m not sure Caelus would’ve come to explore in Alaska," Jim Musselman, the Dallas-based company’s chief executive officer, said in a statement. “We’re proof that the credit programs work."


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Copyright 2016 Bloomberg News.


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