US Gas Futures Head for Best Second-Quarter Gain in 16 Years

(Bloomberg) - U.S. natural gas futures headed for the best second quarter since 2000 after a government report showed a smaller-than-forecast stockpile gain that reflected a revision to West Coast supplies.

Gas inventories rose 37 billion cubic feet after the Pacific region reclassified 5 billion cubic feet from working gas, or stockpiles that can be withdrawn and sent to customers, and instead tagged it as gas needed to maintain adequate storage pressure. That made the implied flow for the week 42 billion. Analysts had predicted an increase of 45 billion. The inventory surplus narrowed for a twelfth straight week, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration data.

Prices have surged 81 percent from a 17-year low in March as hot weather boosts demand for electricity generation, eroding the supply glut. Production disruptions from flooding in West Virginia and an explosion at an Enterprise Products Partners LP gas plant in Mississippi are also limiting supplies.

"The supply declines have been greater than anticipated by the market,” said Teri Viswanath, managing director of gas at PIRA Energy Group in New York. "The market wants to look at the winter, but there’s still enough moving parts in the injection season alone that it should pose a question at whether the arrival at the three-dollar mark is premature."

Futures for August delivery rose 4.9 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $2.912 per million British thermal units at 2:10 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange after the release of the EIA inventory report. Gas is on course to gain 49 percent this quarter.

Temperatures may be broadly warmer than normal in the contiguous U.S. from July 10 through July 14, with the West hotter than previously expected, according to MDA Weather Services.

- With assistance from Christine Buurma. To contact the reporter on this story: Ryan Collins in New York at rcollins74@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Lynn Doan at ldoan6@bloomberg.net Charlotte Porter, Stephen Cunningham

Copyright 2016 Bloomberg News.

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