Kemp: OPEC Risks Pyrrhic Victory With Oil Policy


(John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

LONDON, Nov 30 (Reuters) - "If we are victorious in one more battle with the Romans, we shall be utterly ruined," King Pyrrhus of Epirus complained after winning exceptionally bloody engagements in 280 and 279 BC.

Pyrrhus lost many of his men, most of his generals and had no reserves left, while "the army of the Romans, as if from a fountain gushing forth indoors, was easily and speedily filled up again" according to Plutarch.

The king of Epirus, reported to have been a brilliant general, has come to symbolise victories that are so expensive they leave the victor dangerously weakened.

Pyrrhus won the battle but lost the war.

As ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meet in Vienna, some may wonder if the strategy of maintaining output to defend market share risks securing a Pyrrhic victory.

OPEC has put shale producers on the defensive and forced the cancellation of many ambitious oil projects with its strategy of going for volume over price.


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Mike | Dec. 1, 2015
I question the statement that most analysts do not see the market rebalancing before 2017 or even 2018. Nearly all the brokerage research Ive seen, as well as that from private outfits, show demand catching up with supply (i.e., the end of the inventory build) by late next year.


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